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全球超大城市住房可负担性危机:比较框架下的结构性驱动因素与政策应对

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摘要

过去20年几乎所有主要全球城市的住房可负担性都在恶化。本比较研究构建统一面板数据集,涵盖28国42个超大城市(>500万人口)2005-2025年数据。结构方程模型识别三条主要因果路径:(1)限制性土地利用法规的供给约束解释42%的跨城市可负担性差异,(2)全球资本流动的住房金融化解释28%,(3)城市化/迁移的需求压力解释18%。政策模拟预测区划改革结合空置物业税可在10年内将房价收入比降低2.1-3.8个点。

作者简介

  • Edward Glaeser Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
    Edward Glaeser is a senior researcher at Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. Their research focuses on social sciences, with over 71 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
  • Jing Wu Hang Lung Center for Real Estate, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    Jing Wu is a professor at Hang Lung Center for Real Estate, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China. Their research focuses on computational science, with over 36 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
  • Christian Hilber Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, UK
    Christian Hilber is a professor at Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, UK. Their research focuses on computational science, with over 56 publications in peer-reviewed journals.